Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.179347 0.207490 0.238566 0.275424 0.317949 0.365478 0.422647
2025-10-26 0.134681 0.172284 0.218069 0.277912 0.354091 0.447876 0.572220
2025-11-02 0.108397 0.148714 0.201259 0.274744 0.374910 0.506791 0.693883
2025-11-09 0.088634 0.128764 0.184055 0.265775 0.383564 0.547382 0.792978
2025-11-16 0.078361 0.119624 0.179280 0.271770 0.411682 0.615707 0.936542
2025-11-23 0.069213 0.110456 0.172709 0.273453 0.432584 0.674678 1.071997
2025-11-30 0.062430 0.103754 0.168628 0.277802 0.457185 0.740836 1.224848
2025-12-07 0.054813 0.094591 0.159358 0.272381 0.465010 0.780717 1.339246
2025-12-14 0.048829 0.087286 0.152078 0.269054 0.475362 0.825003 1.464823
2025-12-21 0.044843 0.082867 0.149022 0.272342 0.496964 0.889830 1.631972
2025-12-28 0.042766 0.081553 0.151119 0.284786 0.535790 0.988080 1.868560
2026-01-04 0.040307 0.079206 0.151031 0.293085 0.567717 1.076856 2.096855
2026-01-11 0.037788 0.076516 0.150130 0.299987 0.598240 1.167082 2.339785
2026-01-18 0.034998 0.072970 0.147216 0.302675 0.620961 1.245025 2.567962
2026-01-25 0.031858 0.068323 0.141591 0.299227 0.630896 1.298751 2.753096
2026-02-01 0.028452 0.062707 0.133375 0.289462 0.626655 1.323346 2.880439
2026-02-08 0.026944 0.060962 0.132942 0.295989 0.657260 1.422384 3.175642
2026-02-15 0.025164 0.058404 0.130488 0.297821 0.677819 1.502144 3.437353
2026-02-22 0.023785 0.056582 0.129419 0.302556 0.705204 1.599165 3.747595
2026-03-01 0.021733 0.052963 0.123952 0.296653 0.707746 1.641385 3.937138
2026-03-08 0.020044 0.050006 0.119674 0.293031 0.715131 1.695149 4.159212
2026-03-15 0.018980 0.048444 0.118479 0.296612 0.739980 1.791663 4.493716
2026-03-22 0.018602 0.048545 0.121252 0.310159 0.790486 1.953754 5.005874